Economía (trabajo de grado)
URI permanente para esta colección
Examinar
Envíos recientes
Publicación Cuando el lugar importa : factores municipales relacionados al uso de servicios de salud mental en Antioquia(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Yepes Martínez, Sofía; Ceballos García, Grey Yuliet; Puerta Puerta, Henry DanielPublicación The Morning After, Years Later : The Lasting Effects of Emergency Contraception on Fertility in Colombia(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Otero Arango, María José; Guerrero Torres, María José; Posso Suárez, Christian ManuelPublicación Shockwawes : The invisible impact of the global economy on inflation in Colombia(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Sánchez Graciano, Katerin Sofía; Vásquez Chacón, Sebastián; Pinilla Barrera, AlejandroThis study examines the impact of external factors on inflation in Colombia using a VAR (Vec tor Autoregressive) model. It investigates how global inflation, particularly in the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic, influences domestic inflation in Colombia. Key determinants include commodity prices, exchange rates, and inflation expectations. The objectives include assessing the effects of exchange rate fluctuations, analyzing macroeconomic shocks, and developing an econometric model to identify the main drivers of inflation. The research highlights the impor tance of understanding these external influences for effective monetary policy in an interconnected global economy. The methodology involves constructing a database of both local and international macroeconomic variables and estimating their relationships to determine their impact on Colom bia’s Consumer Price Index (CPI).Publicación Pagos digitales y bienestar financiero a lo largo del ciclo de vida : un análisis empírico(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Martínez Castro, María Paola; Cuberos Villegas, Martín; Álvarez Franco, Pilar Beatriz; Almonacid Hurtado, Paula MaríaPublicación El dilema de la inacción : riesgos económicos y estrategia en el cambio climático(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Rios Carmona, María José; Chaparro Cardona, Juan CamiloThis research analyzes the economic incentives that influence international cooperation in response to climate change, using a dynamic game theory model. Through an infinitely repeated game, the strategies of four key actors—United States, China, the European Union, and a coalition of middle-income countries—are evaluated across three rounds (2030, 2040, 2050), incorporating empirical data on GDP, CO₂ emissions, and climate-related costs. The results reveal that although non-cooperation initially prevails, the growing economic impacts of global warming create inflection points where collective action becomes inevitable. This study contributes to the literature by overcoming the limitations of static models, proposing a framework that integrates both asymmetries between countries and temporal dynamics. Furthermore, it incorporates monetary values into the utility function to enable a more realistic and policy-relevant analysis.Publicación Actores, partidos y aplausos : el detrás de cámaras de la legislación en Colombia(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Ferreira Escobar, William Andrés; Torres García, AlejandroPublicación Crónica de una nota anunciada : análisis de los factores determinantes del rendimiento académico colombiano a través de las pruebas Pisa 2022(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Zapata Guerra, Juan David; Gaviria Ossa, Tomas; Chaparro Cardona, Juan Camilo.Ítem Bolivia's Balance of Payments Crisis : From Boom to Bust(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Gutiérrez Ramírez, Isabella; Goda, ThomasThis article investigates Bolivia’s current balance of payments crisis, identifying its principal causes and broader economic implications. The study focuses on key factors, such as the decline in natural gas exports, elevated government spending, and the fixed exchange rate regime. These factors and sustained current account deficits have increasingly exposed the Bolivian economy to external vulnerabilities. Utilizing an Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) model, the research assesses both short- and long-term relationships between Bolivia’s balance of payments and macroeconomic variables, such as the Real Effective Exchange Rate, the Volume of Natural Gas Exports, Government Spending, and the GDP Growth of Bolivia’s trading partners. The results indicate that the fixed exchange rate policy has created imbalances by distorting the Real Effective Exchange Rate. Additionally, the government’s heavy reliance on hydrocarbons has made fiscal policy less effective in maintaining economic balance. The findings emphasize the need for structural reforms, including revisiting the exchange rate policy, diversifying export sources, and improving fiscal management to mitigate future vulnerabilities. This research offers valuable insights into Bolivia’s economic challenges and provides a framework for understanding the broader consequences of heavily relying on natural resources within a globalized economy.Ítem Determinantes de la pobreza oculta en Colombia(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Mosquera Taborda, Juan Manuel; Chaparro Cardona, Juan CamiloPublicación Análisis espaciotemporal de hot spots de diferentes tipos de crimen en Medellín(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Jiménez Giraldo, Ana María; García Cruz, Gustavo AdolfoPublicación Análisis empírico de la relación entre la tasa de cambio real, la tasa de cambio nominal y los precios reales del petróleo ¿Qué mueve la competitividad en el mercado internacional?(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Quirós Gómez, Salomón; Posada Posada, Carlos EstebanPublicación La relación entre la fuerza laboral femenina y la movilidad empresarial ascendente en el Oriente Antioqueño : análisis econométrico de 2017-2023(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Ospina Ramírez, Clara Isabel; Cardona Rendón, Isabela; Tamayo Plata, Mery Patricia; Chaparro Cardona, Juan CamiloBusiness mobility is essential to understanding the economic dynamics of Eastern Antioquia, a region with high growth potential. Although progress has been made in gender equity, questions remain about how female leadership influences business performance. Previous literature suggests that women’s participation in managerial roles can strengthen financial performance and adaptability, which justifies exploring its relationship with upward business mobility. Using logit models applied to the periods 2017–2019 and 2021–2023, the study finds that business age negatively affects the probability of upward mobility, favoring younger firms. Additionally, female inclusion—measured by the total number of women employed—showed a positive and significant effect before the pandemic but lost statistical relevance after 2020. This shift suggests a possible rupture in the mechanisms that previously supported gender-driven growth, highlighting the need for further research on how to promote equity in changing economic contexts.Publicación El sector energético como activo refugio : un análisis del XLE tras la invasión de Rusia a Ucrania(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Vera Cortés, Alfonsina del Mar; Puerta Álvarez, Henry DanielThis study analyzes whether the U.S. energy sector, represented by the XLE ETF, can be considered a safe haven asset in the context of disruptive geopolitical and economic events, such as the Russia-Ukraine war and the COVID-19 pandemic. Using daily data from 2019 to 2025, the behavior of XLE, the S&P 500, gold (XAU/USD), oil prices (WTI and Brent), and inflation expectations (sourced from the FRED database) are examined. Through statistical and graphical tools, the analysis shows that XLE experienced a significant recovery after the onset of the conflict, remaining relatively stable compared to the volatility of other assets such as oil and gold. In contrast, gold—traditionally viewed as a safe haven—lost stability after the war began, with a delayed recovery. The differing behavior of WTI and Brent highlights the influence of regional geopolitical factors. Inflation expectations also played a key role in shaping asset dynamics. The results suggest that, although gold remains relevant as a safe haven, the U.S. energy sector—particularly the XLE—has gained prominence as a potential defensive alternative for investors during periods of high uncertainty.Ítem Feminización de la agricultura & su impacto en la producción del café colombiano(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Apraez Apraez, Anita Isabella; Jaramillo Restrepo, Paulina; Quintero Vásquez, Laura María; Muñoz Mora, Juan CarlosÍtem Relación entre competitividad y bienestar : un enfoque multidimensional del desarrollo humano(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Anaya Lopera, Natalia; Londoño Grajales, Juan David; Goda, ThomasÍtem Análisis de la contribución de la educación no formal al mercado laboral colombiano(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Cardona Jaramillo, Juliana; Rendón Pamplona, Sara; Hernández Flórez, MónicaÍtem A Novel Ornstein Uhlenbeck Levy Model Conditioned on an Unknown Mean : Frecasting of the VIX(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Aguirre Posada, Mario; Almonacid Hurtado, Paula María; Pérez Monsalve, Juan PabloÍtem Influencia de la adopción de criterios ESG dentro de la valoración financiera de empresas estadounidenses que cotizan en la bolsa de valores NASDAQ 100(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Amelines Osorno, Estefanía; Urrego Moscarella, Tomás; Álvarez Franco, Pilar Beatriz; Puerta Álvarez, Henry DanielWhile companies that implement ESG criteria may enjoy positive market perception, evidence suggests these practices don't necessarily translate into increased corporate value. Analyzing ESG criteria in tech companies shows that those adopting sustainable practices don't always achieve significant valuation impact, especially compared to traditional financial metrics like EBITDA, book value, or stock price. An econometric analysis of 25 NASDAQ 100 companies indicates that although ESG adoption is relevant, its contribution to corporate valuation is limited. This suggests that while sustainability is important, it isn't a decisive competitive advantage in the tech sector. Essentially, the applied econometric models reveal that the explanatory power of ESG criteria on firm value is low, indicating that other financial factors play a much more crucial role in determining value. However, when analyzing the subset of the five most representative tech companies in the NASDAQ 100, the impact of ESG criteria is significant. This indicates that larger, more market-dominant companies find sustainable practices more relevant to their valuation. This finding suggests that the influence of ESG criteria may vary depending on a company's size and position within the tech sector. It implies that companies with higher market capitalization are better positioned to leverage the competitive advantages associated with sustainability.Ítem Impacto del volumen de transacción en la generación de capital(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Rey Ardila, María Camila; Pineda Cancino, Juan David; Montoya Gil, Juan MiguelÍtem Medición del turismo en el crecimiento económico de América Latina durante el período de 1995-2018(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Vellojin Sierra, Linda Rosa; Quirós Arango, Luis FernandoThis thesis investigates the relationship between economic growth and tourism in Latin America and a subset of filtered countries (Brazil, Colombia, Costa Rica, Chile, Mexico, Panama, Peru and Uruguay) highlighting the crucial role that tourism plays as a driver of development in the region. In the first instance, previous empirical studies are reviewed in order to understand how tourism has contributed to economic growth over time. To quantitatively analyze this relationship, the panel data methodology is used, covering the period from 1995 to 2018; The Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth rate is considered as the dependent variable, while the independent variables are unemployment, inbound tourism expenditure, inflation, and population growth. In the analysis for Latin American countries as a whole, inbound tourism expenditure does not show a significant effect on GDP growth, while in the filtered subset of countries, inbound tourism expenditure is significant and has a direct effect on GDP growth, suggesting that tourism is an important driver of economic growth in these countries. The different results between Latin America as a whole and the filtered countries underscore the importance of analyzing specific contexts to obtain more precise conclusions about significant effects of tourism on economic growth.