Examinando por Materia "Riesgo"
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Ítem La Administración de Riesgos Empresariales(Universidad EAFIT, 01/12/2004) Rubi Consuelo Mejía Quijano; Universidad EAFITÍtem Análisis de la exposición al riesgo del Efectivo Generado por la Operación (EGO) bajo incertidumbre macroeconómica y de mercado.(Universidad EAFIT, 2010-01-01) Herrera, Hernán; hherrer2@eafit.edu.coThis paper is a methodology for calculating the EGOaR (Operational Cash Flow at risk) for nonfinancial firms. This proposal seeks to overcome the weaknesses referred to other methods for calculating the CFaR (Cash Flow at Risk) when regard the company as an average of a group of similar competitors and not including exogenous sources of risk in the individual company. In the proposed method does not use the cash flow but the Operational Cash Flow (EGO) as the dependent variable in the exposure model, avoiding punish the historic company cash flow with strategic investments. Another advance is the use of time series theory to estimate and simulate the behavior following exogenous variables that influence the generation of cash in the company.Ítem Analítica de datos : un estudio de caso de su uso para identificar riesgos estratégicos en grandes compañías de Medellín(2019) Coronado Medina, Luis Alejandro; Núñez Patiño, María Antonia; Rodrígues Taborda; EduardoThis research seeks to describe how, from the implementation of data analytics tools, large companies in Medellín are transforming strategic risk management from their identification stage, to respond to changes in their business ecosystem. A qualitative methodology was followed with a descriptive exploratory scope, through semi-structured interviews with risk management leaders. The obtained results demonstrate the importance that companies attach to the implementation of data analytics to identify strategic risks. The recognition of the relevance of these new tools is based on a greater possibility of carrying out a more complex, more accurate, efficient and more objective analysis of the environment, that increasingly involve more variables and that are able to establish greater connections between them.Ítem Aplicación de opciones reales a inversiones en proyectos de reforestación(Universidad EAFIT, 2019) Gutiérrez Olivares, Nicolás; Parra Gutiérrez, Simón; Pareja Vasseur, Julian AlbertoThis study evaluates the different valuation methodologies for reforestation projects focused on wood production for industrial use. The differences between the traditional discounted cash flow methods and the real options methods are analyzed. In addition to this, the different ways of assessing real options and their application to the final evaluation of a project are investigated. The different methods are applied in a real example of a reforestation project in order to analyze the advantages, disadvantages and quantitative differences of one method over the other. Finally, a valuation model that adapts to different types of reforestation projects is concluded and designed.Ítem Caracterización de la cultura de riesgo en entidades públicas alcaldías del departamento de Risaralda – Colombia. Año 2024(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Jiménez Zuluaga, Diana Patricia; Mazuera Castillo, Ana Milena; Guerrero, Jorge HarleyThe main objective of this research project is to characterize the risk culture in public entities (mayors) in the department of Risaralda. The above is with the objective of proposing improvement actions based on the results obtained in the characterization process. Being what has been presented so far, a starting point, a theoretical framework is shown that contains various postulates about risk culture in public entities and the process of characterization of this aspect in this type of organizations. The methodology is presented as qualitative research in conjunction with an exploratory ˗ descriptive base that helped the use of instruments for collecting information such as the semi-structured interview and the documentary review. The results allowed us to establish that although the different public entities carry out actions for risk management under the framework of Colombian regulations, related to fields such as knowledge about risk management regulations, perception of the importance of risk culture, participation in training programs on risk management, attitudes towards the identification and management of risks in everyday life, previous experiences of confronting and managing risk situations, level of compliance with established security protocols, internal communication and external on risk situations, availability of resources for risk management, risk evaluation and monitoring processes, culture of prevention and response to emergencies, this is not enough to consider that in these municipalities there is an established risk culture. Due to the above, actions and improvements were proposed to strengthen this culture in these organizations.Ítem Complicidad delictiva mediante actos neutrales : la imputación jurídico penal del asesor jurídico en el delito de administración desleal(Universidad EAFIT, 2023) Blandón Espinosa, Juan Camilo; Echavarría Ramírez, RicardoIn the context of the discussion and evolution of this legal institution, "it was only from the 90s onwards that complicity through neutral actions became a central issue in the field of criminal law" (Greco, 2017). Indeed, as Sánchez (2013) stated, "it seems that the widespread adoption of the doctrine of neutral intervention behaviors was not mainly due to the academic examples of bakers, taxi drivers or waiters, but rather to the analysis of the Dresdner case. Bank, with all its subjective complexities" (p. 2). In a seminar held at the Pompeu Fabra University of Barcelona, under the direction of Professor Sánchez, the importance of establishing distinctions in the treatment of neutral behaviors that contribute or have an impact on subsequent criminal behavior was pointed out. In the words of Guzmán (2017), "it was highlighted that, however, the distinction criterion necessary for this remained an unresolved issue" (p. 1). During this discussion, the Munich professor argued that "what has been tried to combat, above all, is the idea that intervention in a criminal act through a neutral action is automatically unpunished" (Claus, 2000, pp. 202-203). Consequently, the following work explores various doctrinal perspectives that explain the situations in which neutral conduct, such as the professional provision of a service, facilitates the commission of the crime of unfair administration. In these cases, the subject who contributes to the execution of said crime, without possessing the legal aptitude required in the type, can be considered an accomplicÍtem Corporate social responsibility and cost of equity : evidence from Latin America(Universidad EAFIT, 2022) Castellanos Rios, Santiago; Gaitán Riaño, Sandra ConstanzaÍtem Las Corridas de Toros en San Fermín: El Riesgo, La Muchedumbre y el Hedonismo(Universidad EAFIT, 01/06/2005) Yaromir Muñoz Molina; Universidad EAFITÍtem Los criptoactivos como objeto de delito y su necesidad de regulación para restaurar la seguridad jurídica y la sociabilidad económica(Universidad EAFIT, 2022) Castrillón Peña, Valentina; Mora Gómez, JuliánThe present work has the purpose of analyzing the possible creation of a legal matrix or a legal framework regarding the use of cryptocurrencies in Colombia. Given the growing importance and recognition that these currencies have received over the time, the place where it stands nowadays, the undeniable immersion in the financial world and the large amount of transactions happening, it is necessary to identify the important elements and the possibility of including them in the colombian legal system, likewise, with the aim of reducing or, at least, controlling, the implications of these virtual currencies in the commission of crimes like money laundering and financing of terrorism. This research work is structured in five chapters: in the first one, the general aspects of cryptocurrencies are presented, the second chapter refers to the performance of cryptocurrencies in the market, where there is a description of all the important elements needed to understand, first hand, the delicate points that integrate all this operations; third chapter includes the national legal system and international regulations associated with cryptocurrencies and their management and control, with the purpose of identifying those practices that are implemented in other countries and suitable with the colombian legal system; in chapter four, the main crimes that are committed in the present are exposed; last, the particularities of the Anti-Money Laundering and Counter Terrorism Financing Risk Management System are explored, and finally, there is an explanation of the ideas that must be taken into account when creating a regulatory framework to regulate and control the transaccions and the management of cryptocurrencies, and prevents their use in the commission of crimes. As a result of the above, and in the development of this topic, we finally present a set of big conclusions and recommendations that can be used as a guide for the substantial transformation of this topic that is becoming a problematic subject in terms of economic, social, cultural, and especially legal order, in reason of the interest that we are involved in based on our legal knowledge and formation. In the dynamic that is corresponded to degree works, investigative projects and development plans, the present work represents a preamble of interdisciplinary nature to the boarding of this topic with such a strong context in the society nowadays and geopolitics; given that it is now a reality and a problem of the cosmovision that we are merged in, with special attention of the legal frame that we are professionally demarcated in.Ítem Crowdfunding inmobiliario : ¿una amenaza para el fondo de capital privado en Colombia?(Universidad EAFIT, 2019) Gómez Romero, Andrea del Pilar; Varela Garzón, María Alexandra; Trespalacios Carrasquilla, AlfredoThe Crowdfunding model results from the need to access credit when there are restrictions due to low credit history, high financing rates, even deteriorated credit rating. On the other hand, markets and facilitates access for professional investors to projects with returns and risks different from the traditional ones, under a regulatory framework that protects the rights of those who participate. This exploratory-descriptive research shows some of the strategies used by real estate crowdfunding sites such as Prodigy Network. This company managed to capture those users who opted for collaborative financing, originating high impact projects in Colombia and The United States, which allow their investors very significant long-term returns. It also reviews the impact of the private equity real estate on the purchase, operation and management of this sector. It is found that, despite the benefits of the model, currently it continues to be more attractive for investors to participate in Real Estate sector through traditional methods, this as consequence of operation, regulation and risk-benefit compensation.Ítem Desarrollo de la administración de riesgos. Diagnóstico en grandes empresas del Área Metropolitana del Valle de Aburrá*(Universidad EAFIT, 2010) Londoño Gómez, Lina Patricia; Núñez Patiño, María Antonia; Universidad EAFITÍtem Descripción del funcionamiento del sector eléctrico colombiano(Universidad EAFIT, 02/04/2006) Alvarez Sierra, Santiago; Tamayo Plata, Mery Patricia; Universidad EAFITÍtem The entrepreneur and the risk management. The Carlos E. Restrepo´s Case(Universidad EAFIT, 29/06/2009) Rubi Consuelo Mejía Quijano; Universidad EAFITÍtem Estado del arte del análisis de riesgos en las diferentes metodologías de preparación y gestión de proyectos(Universidad EAFIT, 2019) Pulido Restrepo, Yilson; Rodríguez Castrillón, Bibiana María; Gómez Salazar, Elkin ArcesioCurrently, in order to face projects’ implementation, the use of methodologies destined for this specific purpose is ever more frequent, from the most traditional ones, such as PMP or Prince 2, to agile methodologies such as SCRUM. The aim of this paper is to analyze the different methodologies of project management in their respective stages of preparation, management and approach in each of them regarding risk management. The methodology to be used for each project will depend on the specific needs, of the organization and on the particular project, but an important aspect to be considered in the selection of said methodology is the risk management proposal, given that it is here where the company or the project will identify the threats and opportunities to which it is exposed, what tools will be used and the steps to manage, either to enhance the occurrence of opportunities or to reduce the occurrence of threats. Most of projects’ methodologies are oriented to their management, and it is at this stage where risk management is also done. Further on, there is a comparative chart of the proposal that each project management methodology has, regarding risk management. The chart specifies if the methodology has an exclusive chapter to deal with risk management and each of the following steps to complete its risk management.Ítem Estructuración del gobierno corporativo en la empresa global Contex S.A.S.(Universidad EAFIT, 2023) Moreno García, Alfonso Javier; Ramírez Flórez, Edward Andrés; Téllez Falla, Diego FernandoCurrently, structuring a Corporate Governance in a family business reflects an image of commitment, credibility, and trust, which is generated through strategic planning, a clear definition and government regulation that allows directing a correct administration, mitigating risks (especially possible fraud), improve financial performance and strengthen the perception of external entities making it financially attractive. The objective of this work is to evaluate the current Corporate Governance of the family business Global Contex S.A.S. and design the succession plan aligning the interests of the business with the purposes of the directors, shareholder, partners and other stakeholders, it is considered that a succession plan Inheritance that is handled improperly can lead to the disappearance of the company.Ítem Evaluación comparativa de un portafolio de inversión óptimo mediante el modelo de Markowitz con acciones listadas en el Mercado Global Colombiano y sus pares en Estados Unidos(Universidad EAFIT, 2023) Díez Peláez, Sebastián; Cardona Llano, Juan FelipeThis study focuses on the construction and comparison of two portfolios that include the same stocks in both the Colombian Global Market (Mercado Global Colombiano, MGC) and the U.S. market (Mercado estadounidense, ME) during the period 2018-2022 using the Markowitz model. The main objective is to measure the generation of alpha with respect to the portfolio invested directly in the United States. The analysis focused on the comparison of profitability and volatility between both portfolios, for which two types of simulations were carried out: i) considering each year as a single period; and ii) covering a continuous period of five years. The results reveal that the MGC portfolio consistently outperformed its counterpart in terms of profitability, but not in risk. The research showed a challenge related to price dynamics in the MGC, where the value of shares remains constant for successive days, followed by sudden changes that can alter the calculation of simulations and statistics. The study provides valuable insights into the comparative performance of two different markets and highlights the opportunities generated by evaluating portfolios in international terms. Likewise, it proposes topics for future research, particularly addressing the characteristics of the MGC that influence the profitability of consolidated portfolios in said market.Publicación Evaluación del riesgo de liquidez en Coprocenva Cooperativa de Ahorro y Crédito(Universidad EAFIT, 2025) Hurtado Valencia, Claudia Inés; Castaño Porras, Jhon Edinson; Bravo Sepúlveda, MarianaThe present work aims to analyze the management of liquidity risk in Coprocenva and examine the variables that comprise this risk in a savings and credit cooperative located in Valle del Cauca and Cauca. It also evaluates how the cooperative assesses the results of quantifying these risks for adequate decision-making and action plan formulation, directly impacting the causes and variables that affect the measurement and evaluation of each indicator. The methodology includes the identification and modeling of internal and external aspects, as well as the correlation of each variable. The results show that it is possible to develop predictive models to manage liquidity risk, identifying significant relationships between internal and external variables. It is recommended to expand the study to include more variables and improve the model's capacity. Implementing these models can enhance financial stability and member confidence, as well as prepare the cooperative to face crises with adequate contingency plans.Ítem Evaluación financiera del campo de producción de gas mediante Project Finance(Universidad EAFIT, 2019) Carillo Peñaloza, Claudia Juliana; Grillo Uribe, Fernando; Restrepo Barth, SimónThe aim of this work is identifying the feasibility and most suitable financing alternatives for the expansion and drilling of new gas wells of the Petromar project in Cerro Gordo, located in Sardinata 70 km from Cúcuta, which will generate confidence in the owners of the company and investors that finance the project. Based on the above, in order to reach the goal of 12.000 Mpcd (thousand cubic feet per day). The Project Finance incorporates all the elements and variables of information that guarantee to deliver to the interested parties a financial projection with the valuation of the current project, the return on investment and the structuring of the SPV special purpose vehicleÍtem Evolución del concepto de gestión del riesgo en el Sistema General de Seguridad Social en Salud. Una Revisión Narrativa 2002-2022(Universidad EAFIT, 2022) Calle Cárdenas, Natalia; Guerreo Latorre, Jorge Arley; Orozco Arbeláez, ArielÍtem ¿Existe el Enigma de la Prima de Riesgo en el Mercado Bursátil Colombiano? 1993-2002(Universidad EAFIT, 15/10/2004) Montoya Osorio, Isabel Cristina; Restrepo Puerta, Juan Manuel; Universidad EAFIT
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