Determinants of real exchange rate movements in 15 emerging market economies

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dc.contributor.authorGoda, Thomas
dc.contributor.authorPriewe, Jan
dc.contributor.eafitauthortgoda@eafit.edu.co
dc.coverage.spatialMedellín de: Lat: 06 15 00 N degrees minutes Lat: 6.2500 decimal degrees Long: 075 36 00 W degrees minutes Long: -75.6000 decimal degreeseng
dc.date.accessioned2019-10-01T18:18:53Z
dc.date.available2019-10-01T18:18:53Z
dc.date.issued2019-10-01
dc.description.abstractPrevious work has established that an appreciation of the real exchange rate (REER) con-tributes to premature deindustrialization, less productive investment and dependence on commodity booms and busts in emerging markets economies (EME). From the literature, it is less clear, however, what the most important drivers for the cyclical REER movements in EME are. The main aim of this study is to provide empirical evidence about the determinants of the REER movements of 15 emerging markets during the last two decades, using statistical analysis and a dynamic panel fixed effects model approach. Our analysis shows that although “commodity” and “industrial” EME are heterogeneous, REER volatility tends to be higher among the former. Yet, REER volatility between emerging and advanced countries does not differ very much, apart from a few countries. EME that had more stable REER fared better than those that had a depreciating or appreciating trend (with the notable exception of China). As theoretically expected, commodity prices are an important structural driver of REER movements in “commodity EME”. Moreover, the results confirm the existence of the Harrod-Balassa-Samuelson effect, and show the importance of financial inflows. Further, the interventions of central banks were partially successful to avoid more substantial appre-ciations (depreciations). Finally, we find that lower country risk and, at least in some peri-ods, growing broad money in OECD countries has led to REER appreciations in our sample countries.eng
dc.identifier.jelF6
dc.identifier.jelF31
dc.identifier.jelF41
dc.identifier.jelO11
dc.identifier.jelO57
dc.identifier.jelP52
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/10784/13896
dc.language.isoengeng
dc.publisherUniversidad EAFITspa
dc.publisher.departmentEscuela de Economía y Finanzasspa
dc.rights.accessrightsinfo:eu-repo/semantics/openAccesseng
dc.rights.localAcceso abiertospa
dc.subject.keywordReal Exchange Ratespa
dc.subject.keywordForeign Exchange Rate Policyspa
dc.subject.keywordCommodity Pricesspa
dc.subject.keywordCapital Inflowsspa
dc.subject.keywordGlobal Riskspa
dc.titleDeterminants of real exchange rate movements in 15 emerging market economieseng
dc.typeworkingPapereng
dc.typeinfo:eu-repo/semantics/workingPapereng
dc.type.hasVersiondrafteng
dc.type.localDocumento de trabajo de investigaciónspa

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