Examinando por Materia "Variables macroeconómicas"
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Ítem Efecto del precio de activos financieros sobre variables macroeconómicas(Universidad EAFIT, 2019) Upegui Cano, Andrés; Hurtado Rendón, Álvaro ArturoPublicación La rentabilidad empresarial en Colombia : un análisis de factores internos y externos 2005 -2015(Universidad EAFIT, 2019) Jaramillo Piedrahita, Francisco Antonio; Medina Guzmán, Luis AlfredoÍtem Modelo estadístico de regresión múltiple como determinante de la rentabilidad de la empresa Procesadora de Frutas y Hortalizas QUALIS SAS durante los períodos 2016-2021(Universidad EAFIT, 2022) Garzón Celis, Diana Carolina; Puerta Arias, José Ramón; Durango Gutiérrez, María PatriciaManagement and financial decision-making process of a company depends mostly on the performance of the external environment reflected in the macroeconomic conditions and the internal factors of firm. The present work proposes an analysis tool for financial indicators for the startup Qualis S.A.S. based on the econometric estimation of the company's profitability measured by return on equity (ROE) and financial and economic variables. The selection of variables to analyze was determined on the state of the art and they were evaluated using global goodness fit measures of the models (R2, Akaike Criterion, VIF, Test F) as well as the individual significance of the estimators. of regression (statistic t). The results show from a total of 13 variables, 8 were selected (operating profit, equity, Log(Assets), Percentage change of Colombia and processed food industry GDP, consumer and producer price indices and freight transport prices) and estimation of three regression models to forecast the expected profitability between the fourth quarters of 2021 and the fourth quarter of 2022. By applying the selected models, it can be planned other financial variables, which involve an optimum level of assets, working capital and liabilities, based on the expectations of price growth in the economy and economic recovery during the following projected quarters.Publicación Modelo para la estimación de cartera vencida en el portafolio de consumo del sector financiero colombiano(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Prens Montes, Isamar del Carmen; Durango Gutiérrez, María PatriciaThis research analyzes the dynamics of the consumer portfolio in the Colombian financial sector, based on the way in which the levels of delinquency and macroeconomic circumstances affect this portfolio. The paper collects historical information from financial and regulatory entities, including indicators such as interest rates, inflation, economic development and levels of delinquency, and carries out the corresponding estimates using quantitative methods such as statistical analysis and econometric models, in order to detect correlations and trends. It is expected to propose a methodology that allows a company in the country´s financial consumer sector to timely anticipate the risk to which it is exposed, given the degree of volatility of the macroeconomic environment.