Examinando por Materia "prediction"
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Ítem Prediction of landslide occurrence in urban areas located on volcanic ash soils in Pereira, Colombia(Springer Verlag, 2004-01-01) Rios, D.A.; Hermelin, M.; Rios, D.A.; Hermelin, M.; Universidad EAFIT. Departamento de Ciencias; Geología Ambiental y TectónicaAs a result of the 25 January 1999 Armenia earthquake, the city of Pereira (400,000 inhabitants), located on a volcanic ash-covered alluvial fan in the western limit of the Central Cordillera (Colombia), suffered 250 slope movements. After a complete inventory, a monitoring process of unstable areas was designed, based on repeated topographic surveys, soil pore saturation levels and visual inspections. The participation of the communities was crucial and permitted the prediction of slope movements between 2 weeks and 3 months in advance and the evacuation of the inhabitants. Three specific examples are discussed. The method could be improved by excavating observation trenches and observing in detail local rainfall. In all cases, the strong involvement of the community was considered indispensable for the success of the process. © Springer-Verlag 2004.Ítem Prediction of the daily share price fluctuations of SURAMINV. A neural netword model(Universidad EAFIT, 13/12/2009) Jaime Enrique Arrieta Bechara; Juan Camilo Torres Cruz; Hermilson Velásquez Ceballos; Universidad EAFITÍtem Zylerberg, 1985 Contributions of the layer topology and mineral content to the elastic modulus and strength of fish scales(ELSEVIER SCIENCE BV, 2018-02-01) Murcia, S.; Miyamoto, Y.; Varma, M.P.; Ossa, A.; Arola, D.Fish scales are an interesting natural structural material and their functionality requires both flexibility and toughness. Our previous studies identified that there are spatial variations in the elastic properties of fish scales corresponding to the anatomical regions, and that they appear to be attributed to changes in the microstructure. In the present study, a model is proposed that describes the elastic behavior of elasmoid fish scales in terms of the relative contributions of the limiting layer and both the internal and external elasmodine. The mechanical properties of scales from the Megalops atlanticus (i.e. tarpon) were characterized in tension and compared with predictions from the model. The average error between the predicted and the experimental properties was 7%. It was found that the gradient in mineral content and aspect ratio of the apatite crystals in the limiting layer played the most important roles on the elastic modulus of the scales. Furthermore, misalignment of plies in the external elasmodine from the longitudinal direction was shown to reduce the elastic modulus significantly. This is one approach for modulating the fish scale flexibility for a high mineral content that is required to increase the resistance to puncture. © 2017