Examinando por Materia "landslide"

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    Community participation in natural risk prevention: Case histories from Colombia
    (GEOLOGICAL SOC PUBLISHING HOUSE, 2008-01-01) Hermelin, M.; Bedoya, G.; Universidad EAFIT. Departamento de Geología; Ciencias del Mar
    More than 75% of Colombia's 42 million people live in urban areas located in the mountains and are exposed to numerous natural hazards: floods, flash floods, landslides, earthquakes and volcanism. The Armero disaster of 1985 triggered the creation of the National System for Disaster Prevention and Relief. National, regional and local committees started to operate across the country, accompanied by education commissions that produced diverse audiovisual materials to help educate people living in these areas. The experiences of working with local committees gained during the last two decades are presented here. Case histories are from cities such as Pereira, Manizales and Medellín, where the local committees are run by people with little or no formal education but who understand that they must participate as a group to prevent or mitigate the effects of natural disasters. The co-operation between technical experts and trained residents represents an outstanding example of good communication and co-operation for urban populations living in dangerous areas. Although many problems have yet to be resolved, these case histories show that this type of organization seems to be more effective than direct intervention from national government agencies. The models of community participation and communication developed and refined here may have application to similar social environments in other countries. © 2008 Geological Society of London.
  • No hay miniatura disponible
    Ítem
    Community participation in natural risk prevention: Case histories from Colombia
    (GEOLOGICAL SOC PUBLISHING HOUSE, 2008-01-01) Hermelin, M.; Bedoya, G.; Hermelin, M.; Bedoya, G.; Universidad EAFIT. Departamento de Ciencias; Geología Ambiental y Tectónica
    More than 75% of Colombia's 42 million people live in urban areas located in the mountains and are exposed to numerous natural hazards: floods, flash floods, landslides, earthquakes and volcanism. The Armero disaster of 1985 triggered the creation of the National System for Disaster Prevention and Relief. National, regional and local committees started to operate across the country, accompanied by education commissions that produced diverse audiovisual materials to help educate people living in these areas. The experiences of working with local committees gained during the last two decades are presented here. Case histories are from cities such as Pereira, Manizales and Medellín, where the local committees are run by people with little or no formal education but who understand that they must participate as a group to prevent or mitigate the effects of natural disasters. The co-operation between technical experts and trained residents represents an outstanding example of good communication and co-operation for urban populations living in dangerous areas. Although many problems have yet to be resolved, these case histories show that this type of organization seems to be more effective than direct intervention from national government agencies. The models of community participation and communication developed and refined here may have application to similar social environments in other countries. © 2008 Geological Society of London.
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    Development of structural debris flow fragility curves (debris flow buildings resistance) using momentum flux rate as a hazard parameter
    (Elsevier B.V., 2018-05-18) Prieto, Jorge Alonso; Journeay, Murray; Acevedo A.B.; Arbelaez, Juan; Ulmi, Malaika; Prieto, Jorge Alonso; Journeay, Murray; Acevedo A.B.; Arbelaez, Juan; Ulmi, Malaika; Universidad EAFIT. Departamento de Ingeniería de Producción; Materiales de Ingeniería
    Societal risks associated with debris flow hazards are significant and likely to escalate due to global population growth trends and the compounding effects of climate change. Quantitative risk assessment methods (QRA) provide a means of anticipating the likely impacts and consequences of settlement in areas susceptible to landslide activity and are increasingly being used to inform land use decisions that seek to increase disaster resilience through mitigation and/or adaptation. Current QRA methods for debris flow hazards are based primarily on empirical vulnerability functions that relate hazard intensity (depth, velocity, etc.) to expected levels of loss for a given asset of concern, i.e. most of current methods are dedicated to loss-intensity relations. Though grounded in observed cause-effect relationships, empirical vulnerability functions are not designed to predict the capacity of a building to withstand the physical impacts of a debris flow event, or the related uncertainties associated with modelling building performance as a function of variable debris flow parameters. This paper describes a methodology for developing functions that relate hazard intensity to probability of structural damage, i.e., fragility functions, rather than vulnerability functions, based on the combined hydrodynamic forces of a debris flow event (hazard level) and the inherent structural resistance of building typologies that are common in rural mountainous settings (building performance). Hazard level includes a hydrodynamic force variable (FDF), which accounts for the combined effects of debris flow depth and velocity, i.e. momentum flux (hv2), material density (?) and related flow characteristics including drag (Cd) and impact coefficient (Kd). Building performance is measured in terms of yield strength (Ay), ultimate lateral capacity (AU) and weight to breadth ratios (W/B) defined for a portfolio building types that are common in mountain settlements. Collectively, these model parameters are combined using probabilistic methods to produce building-specific fragility functions that describe the probability of reaching or exceeding successive thresholds of structural damage over a range of hazard intensity values, expressed in terms of momentum flux. Validation of the proposed fragility model is based on a comparison between model outputs and observed cause-effect relationships for recent debris flow events in South Korea and in Colombia. Debris flow impact momentum fluxes, capable of resulting in complete damage to unreinforced masonry buildings (URM) in those regions are estimated to be on the order of 24 m3/s2, consistent with field-based observations. Results of our study offer additional capabilities for assessing risks associated with urban growth and development in areas exposed to debris flow hazards. © 2018 Elsevier B.V.
  • No hay miniatura disponible
    Ítem
    Development of structural debris flow fragility curves (debris flow buildings resistance) using momentum flux rate as a hazard parameter
    (Elsevier B.V., 2018-05-18) Prieto, Jorge Alonso; Journeay, Murray; Acevedo A.B.; Arbelaez, Juan; Ulmi, Malaika; Mecánica Aplicada
    Societal risks associated with debris flow hazards are significant and likely to escalate due to global population growth trends and the compounding effects of climate change. Quantitative risk assessment methods (QRA) provide a means of anticipating the likely impacts and consequences of settlement in areas susceptible to landslide activity and are increasingly being used to inform land use decisions that seek to increase disaster resilience through mitigation and/or adaptation. Current QRA methods for debris flow hazards are based primarily on empirical vulnerability functions that relate hazard intensity (depth, velocity, etc.) to expected levels of loss for a given asset of concern, i.e. most of current methods are dedicated to loss-intensity relations. Though grounded in observed cause-effect relationships, empirical vulnerability functions are not designed to predict the capacity of a building to withstand the physical impacts of a debris flow event, or the related uncertainties associated with modelling building performance as a function of variable debris flow parameters. This paper describes a methodology for developing functions that relate hazard intensity to probability of structural damage, i.e., fragility functions, rather than vulnerability functions, based on the combined hydrodynamic forces of a debris flow event (hazard level) and the inherent structural resistance of building typologies that are common in rural mountainous settings (building performance). Hazard level includes a hydrodynamic force variable (FDF), which accounts for the combined effects of debris flow depth and velocity, i.e. momentum flux (hv2), material density (?) and related flow characteristics including drag (Cd) and impact coefficient (Kd). Building performance is measured in terms of yield strength (Ay), ultimate lateral capacity (AU) and weight to breadth ratios (W/B) defined for a portfolio building types that are common in mountain settlements. Collectively, these model parameters are combined using probabilistic methods to produce building-specific fragility functions that describe the probability of reaching or exceeding successive thresholds of structural damage over a range of hazard intensity values, expressed in terms of momentum flux. Validation of the proposed fragility model is based on a comparison between model outputs and observed cause-effect relationships for recent debris flow events in South Korea and in Colombia. Debris flow impact momentum fluxes, capable of resulting in complete damage to unreinforced masonry buildings (URM) in those regions are estimated to be on the order of 24 m3/s2, consistent with field-based observations. Results of our study offer additional capabilities for assessing risks associated with urban growth and development in areas exposed to debris flow hazards. © 2018 Elsevier B.V.
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    Prediction of landslide occurrence in urban areas located on volcanic ash soils in Pereira, Colombia
    (Springer Verlag, 2004-01-01) Rios, D.A.; Hermelin, M.; Rios, D.A.; Hermelin, M.; Universidad EAFIT. Departamento de Ciencias; Geología Ambiental y Tectónica
    As a result of the 25 January 1999 Armenia earthquake, the city of Pereira (400,000 inhabitants), located on a volcanic ash-covered alluvial fan in the western limit of the Central Cordillera (Colombia), suffered 250 slope movements. After a complete inventory, a monitoring process of unstable areas was designed, based on repeated topographic surveys, soil pore saturation levels and visual inspections. The participation of the communities was crucial and permitted the prediction of slope movements between 2 weeks and 3 months in advance and the evacuation of the inhabitants. Three specific examples are discussed. The method could be improved by excavating observation trenches and observing in detail local rainfall. In all cases, the strong involvement of the community was considered indispensable for the success of the process. © Springer-Verlag 2004.