Examinando por Materia "Proyecciones energéticas"
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Ítem Metodología para la valoración de impactos financieros sobre compañías de generación hidroeléctrica mediante la estimación de los precios del mercado energético colombiano a través de un sistema de redes neuronales(Universidad EAFIT, 2024) Mejía Melguizo, Juan Camilo; Cardona Llano, Juan FelipeThis degree work proposes the creation of a model to financially evaluate the impact on organizations that concentrate their productive activities in hydroelectric power plant projects in Colombia with an installed capacity of less than 20 megawatts, using a neural network system to predict energy prices in the country´s market. The model integrates relevant macroeconomic and climatic variables that affect the volatility of the asset value, and are evaluated through backtesting to identify the optimal alternative and compare them with other predictive tools under the recurrent neural network methodology. The selected model provides an analytical tool for investors and regulators, considering the dynamics of the energy market and the main factors that influence electric energy prices.