Examinando por Materia "Mortality"

Mostrando 1 - 4 de 4
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    Ítem
    An alternative model to explain the vectorial capacity using as example Aedes aegypti case in dengue transmission
    (Elsevier BV, 2019-01-01) Catano-Lopez A.; Rojas-Diaz D.; Laniado H.; Arboleda-Sánchez S.; Puerta-Yepes M.E.; Lizarralde-Bejarano D.P.; Catano-Lopez A.; Rojas-Diaz D.; Laniado H.; Arboleda-Sánchez S.; Puerta-Yepes M.E.; Lizarralde-Bejarano D.P.; Universidad EAFIT. Departamento de Ciencias; Matemáticas y Aplicaciones
    Vectorial capacity (VC), as a concept that describes the potential of a vector to transmit a pathogen, has had historical problems related to lacks in dimensional significance and high error propagation from parameters that take part in the model to output. Hence, values estimated with those equations are not sufficiently reliable to consider in control strategies or vector population study. In this paper, we propose a new VC model consistent at dimensional level, i.e., the definition and the equation of VC have same and consistent units, with a parameter estimation method and mathematical structure that reduces the uncertainty in model output, using as a case of study an Aedes aegypti population of the municipality of Bello, Colombia. After a literature review, we selected one VC equation following biological, measurability and dimensional criteria, then we rendered a local and global sensitivity analysis, identifying the mortality rate of mosquitoes as a target component of the equation. Thus, we studied the Weibull and Exponential distributions as probabilistic models that represent the expectation of mosquitoes infective life, intending to include the best distribution in a selected VC structure. The proposed mortality rate estimation method includes a new parameter that represents an increase or decrease in vector mortality, as it may apply. We noticed that its estimation reduces the uncertainty associated with the expectation of mosquitoes' infective life expression, which also reduces the output range and variance in almost a half. Virology; Applied mathematics; Health sciences; Epidemiology; Infectious disease; Mortality; Uncertainty analysis; Vectorial capacity; Sensitivity analysis; Dengue © 2019 The Authors
  • No hay miniatura disponible
    Ítem
    An alternative model to explain the vectorial capacity using as example Aedes aegypti case in dengue transmission
    (Elsevier BV, 2019-01-01) Catano-Lopez A.; Rojas-Diaz D.; Laniado H.; Arboleda-Sánchez S.; Puerta-Yepes M.E.; Lizarralde-Bejarano D.P.; Universidad EAFIT. Escuela de Ciencias; Modelado Matemático
    Vectorial capacity (VC), as a concept that describes the potential of a vector to transmit a pathogen, has had historical problems related to lacks in dimensional significance and high error propagation from parameters that take part in the model to output. Hence, values estimated with those equations are not sufficiently reliable to consider in control strategies or vector population study. In this paper, we propose a new VC model consistent at dimensional level, i.e., the definition and the equation of VC have same and consistent units, with a parameter estimation method and mathematical structure that reduces the uncertainty in model output, using as a case of study an Aedes aegypti population of the municipality of Bello, Colombia. After a literature review, we selected one VC equation following biological, measurability and dimensional criteria, then we rendered a local and global sensitivity analysis, identifying the mortality rate of mosquitoes as a target component of the equation. Thus, we studied the Weibull and Exponential distributions as probabilistic models that represent the expectation of mosquitoes infective life, intending to include the best distribution in a selected VC structure. The proposed mortality rate estimation method includes a new parameter that represents an increase or decrease in vector mortality, as it may apply. We noticed that its estimation reduces the uncertainty associated with the expectation of mosquitoes' infective life expression, which also reduces the output range and variance in almost a half. Virology; Applied mathematics; Health sciences; Epidemiology; Infectious disease; Mortality; Uncertainty analysis; Vectorial capacity; Sensitivity analysis; Dengue © 2019 The Authors
  • Miniatura
    Ítem
    Dynamics of the Korean population since 1960 and its relationship with the demographic transition
    (Universidad EAFIT, 2016-06-30) Toro Restrepo, Sebastian; Palacios Murillo, Eumary; Universidad EAFIT
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    Ítem
    Educación y tasa de mortalidad en Colombia : un análisis subnacional 1951-2018
    (Universidad EAFIT, 2020) Zapata Guerra, Juanita; Aranzazu Ramírez, Mariana; España Eljaiek, Irina Rosa
    This work analyzes the evolution of the mortality rate and education in Colombia departmentally during the second half of the 20th century from a long-term perspective. For this, descriptive statistics are used of variables such as urbanization, health, labor market and violence, and it is complemented with a preliminary econometric exercise. It is concluded that higher educational levels, mainly of primary and secondary education, translate in a reduction of the mortality rate departmentally for Colombia during the period of 1951-2018.