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Publicación Estabilidad financiera para el Municipio de Medellín : análisis de un modelo de estimación de ingresos tributarios(Universidad EAFIT, 2022) Villegas Berrío, Andrés; Cardona Vargas, Juan David; Téllez Falla, Diego FernandoThe main purpose of this document is to analyze the deviations between tax revenues forecast and the real collections managed by Medellín City for 2020 term. Through the structuring of statistical models that allow to estimate tax collections for estate tax, Industry and commerce tax and gasoline surtax, searching to explain the deviations consequences and how It can influence in the fiscal policy implementation.