Examinando por Autor "Urrego, Joaquin A."
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Ítem Civil Conflict and antipoverty programmes: effects on demobilisation(Universidad EAFIT, 2015-04-08) Pena, Paola; Urrego, Joaquin A.; Villa, Juan M.; jurrego@worldbank.org; penap@outlook.com; juan.villalora@manchester.ac.ukAntipoverty programmes have been successful in helping millions of people afford betterlivelihoods -- While this is well known, little research has yet been conducted that examines the power of such programmes to influence outcomes in times of conflict, especially in countries where antipoverty programmes are implemented amidst disputes against illegal armed groups -- This paper focuses on the implementation of Familias en Accion, a flagship antipoverty programme in Colombia during the early 2000s when the country was experiencing the crudest peak in its long-lasting internal conflict -- Our estimations are based on a natural experiment that resulted from the rolling out of the programme which allowed us to identify a difference-in-differences approach -- Our results indicate that the programme had positive effects on the demobilisation of combatants -- The theoretical transmission channels of these effects are discussed and contrasted with the existing empirical evidenceÍtem Effect of permanent income on crime: a spatial approach and an application case(Universidad Nacional Autónoma de México, 2016-10-01) Urrego, Joaquin A.; Gomez Toro, Catalina; Velasquez C, Hermilson; David Valderrama, Juan; Universidad EAFIT. Departamento de Economía y Finanzas; Research in Spatial Economics (RISE)In this study, spatial information is used to complement the analysis that crime makes an economic theory focused on the availability of police force and judicial efficiency. Particularly, this document analyzes the role that the level of permanent income plays in crimes in a geographical unit and its neighbors, in addition to the relationship of socioeconomic characteristics. An exercise that was applied in the communes of Medellin confirmed the idea that an increase in permanent revenues of 1% reduces crimes in the communes on average by 0.67%. The effect this has on its neighbors is significant and variable. Traditional panel models underestimate the real impact that an increase in income in some neighborhoods has. Robust tests show the accuracy of the results and the adequacy of the model data generating process.Ítem A Spatial Analysis to Permanent Income as Deterrent of Homicides: the case of Medellin City(Universidad EAFIT, 2016-05-04) Urrego, Joaquin A.; Gómez Toro, Catalina; Velásquez, Hermilson; cgomezt1@eafit.edu.co; evelas@eafit.edu.coThis paper studies the relationship between permanent income and homicides, estimating an income-crime elasticity. We assume that this elasticity varies across geographical areas. We estimate different specifications of Spatial Panel Models using information of urban areas in Medellin (Colombia), areas known as communes. Spatial Models consider the importance of location and the type of neighbors of each commune. We simulate an intervention over permanent income in order to estimate the income elasticity for each commune and the average elasticity of income-crime on the city. We provide evidence about spatial dependence between the homicides per commune and their neighbors, and about a relationship between homicides and neighbor’s income. In our case of study, the average estimated impact of 1% increase in permanent income in a specific commune produces a decrease in the homicide rate on average in 0.39%. Finally, permanent income plays a crime deterrent role, but also this effect of income on crime varies across the city, showing that some areas are strategically located to this kind of intervention.